Ilicitano vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 1
ELC
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 2
HOR
33%
28%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
ELC
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
0 - 0
THA
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
UTI
4 - 2
ELC
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HOR
2 - 3
CAL
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 4
THA
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |