Ilicitano vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
ELC
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
CDC
1 - 0
ELC
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
ELC
1 - 0
YEC
30%
25%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CIE
3 - 0
ELC
73%
18%
10%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ELC
1 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
BIG
1 - 0
ORI
25%
30%
45%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
BIG
0 - 0
LOR
24%
29%
47%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
ELD
2 - 0
BIG
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
BIG
0 - 0
DOL
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ALM
0 - 0
BIG
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |