Elche Dream vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche Dream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
ELD
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
ELD
15%
18%
68%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 0
ASP
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 4
ELD
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ELD
0 - 1
GUS
26%
19%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
RAF
68%
19%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALG
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
RAC
69%
17%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |