San Antonio vs Vargas Torres analysis


71	ELO	71
-11.8%	Tilt	-21.4%
1817º	General ELO ranking	1804º
26º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

42.3%

San Antonio

29.3%

Draw

28.4%

Vargas Torres

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%

29.3%

Draw

0-0

11.8%

1-1

13.3%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.3%

28.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+8%

+12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

28

2º

8º

6º

24

5º

10º

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

9º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	34	38	1º	43%
2º	32	38	2º	26.5%
4º	30	37	3º	29%
3º	31	35	4º	24.5%
6º	28	34	5º	31%
5º	28	32	6º	34.5%
7º	26	30	7º	44.5%
8º	25	28	8º	42.5%
9º	24	27	9º	44.5%
10º	22	25	10º	60%
11º	15	19	11º	87%
12º	12	16	12º	91.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	69.5%	2.5%
Relegation play-offs	30.5%	97.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Antonio

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Jul. 2025	OCT 1 - 0 ESA 67% 20% 13%	71	79	8	0
16 Jul. 2025	ESA 1 - 0 CFC 40% 28% 32%	70	74	4	+1
09 Jul. 2025	IMB 1 - 1 ESA 53% 27% 20%	70	75	5	0
02 Jul. 2025	ESA 2 - 2 GUA 43% 29% 29%	70	77	7	0
24 Jun. 2025	JUL 0 - 1 ESA 27% 29% 45%	69	28	41	+1

Matches

Vargas Torres

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jul. 2025	CFC 2 - 1 CSV 47% 28% 26%	72	74	2	0
18 Jul. 2025	CSV 3 - 0 GUA 30% 29% 41%	70	77	7	+2
11 Jul. 2025	OCT 1 - 1 CSV 63% 23% 14%	70	79	9	0
04 Jul. 2025	CSV 1 - 0 IMB 27% 26% 48%	69	75	6	+1
25 Jun. 2025	LFC 3 - 2 CSV 42% 30% 28%	69	69	0	0