El Rubio vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 2
ELR
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ELR
5 - 0
UTR
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ELR
6 - 1
LUI
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 0
ELR
34%
23%
42%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ELR
2 - 0
EST
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
LUI
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
CDA
45%
24%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
EST
46%
22%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ELT
4 - 1
CDA
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
3 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |