El Pardo vs Celtic Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+290%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Pardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CFR
2 - 3
EPA
63%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
EPA
2 - 1
ATA
33%
24%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SSD
5 - 1
EPA
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EPA
1 - 2
RSR
36%
23%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EPA
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Celtic Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CCA
3 - 2
JUS
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CCA
5 - 2
CFR
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ATA
2 - 4
CCA
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CCA
3 - 1
SSD
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RSR
0 - 1
CCA
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |