El Minya vs Manflot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Minya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ELM
1 - 0
NAS
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
ELM
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ELM
2 - 0
MSE
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ELM
3 - 2
ALF
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 2
ELM
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manflot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 1
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAG
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 3
ELW
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SOK
0 - 0
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |