El Mansura vs Itehad Nabaroh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
8º
8º
29
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Mansura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GSH
1 - 0
ELM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ELM
2 - 0
AMS
48%
28%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BAM
0 - 0
ELM
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ELM
1 - 1
PRO
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ELM
1 - 1
ELH
47%
28%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itehad Nabaroh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
ITN
3 - 2
ELH
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ABO
1 - 0
ITN
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
ITN
1 - 0
PFC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
ITN
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITN
0 - 0
ASC
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |