El-Ahli Atbara vs Merreikh El-Fasher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El-Ahli Atbara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
HAY
3 - 2
ELA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ELA
3 - 0
ALR
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ELA
2 - 0
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
5 - 1
ELA
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
KHA
2 - 1
ELA
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
ALH
42%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HAY
2 - 0
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
ALH
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |