Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-5
Ekranas Panevezys vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
FKE
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
FKE
3 - 2
KRU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 0
FKE
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
FKE
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 0
FKE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
FKE
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 2
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |