UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-3
Ekranas Panevezys vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
1 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 3
FKE
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
KRU
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
FBK
0 - 1
FKE
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FKL
0 - 1
FKE
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 7
BAT
24%
23%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
LIN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAT
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 3
BAT
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
DIN
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |