UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 0-11
Ekranas Panevezys vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FAS
3 - 4
FKE
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AND
5 - 0
FKE
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FKE
5 - 0
FKT
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
FKE
2 - 1
SHR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
FKE
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
BEE
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AND
5 - 0
FKE
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
KVK
1 - 1
AND
24%
27%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
AND
3 - 2
LOK
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AND
3 - 0
SDL
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |