Poli Ejido vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
EIB
3 - 1
POL
55%
27%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
VAD
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
POL
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
POL
2 - 0
CDT
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CIU
0 - 1
POL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEV
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LLE
2 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
EIB
0 - 3
LOR
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAD
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 0
LOR
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |