Eilenburg vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
EIL
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
POS
0 - 0
EIL
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HAL
4 - 1
EIL
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EIL
1 - 0
CHE
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SAC
3 - 0
EIL
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
AUE
1 - 2
MEU
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 2
AUE
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
AUE
3 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AUE
1 - 0
ZWI
62%
23%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
AUE
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |