Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Eibar vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
RSO
63%
22%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SES
0 - 0
EIB
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 2
EIB
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 2
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDT
4 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |