Eibar vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
POR
2 - 0
EIB
55%
26%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
EIB
4 - 0
BKE
80%
15%
6%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
MUT
1 - 0
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
EIB
0 - 4
AFT
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
SNT
1 - 2
EIB
43%
29%
28%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ORT
0 - 0
CDU
15%
25%
60%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CDU
4 - 1
AFT
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
CDU
4 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
SFC
2 - 0
CDU
30%
29%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
CDU
1 - 1
GER
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |