EHC Hoensbroek vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EHC Hoensbroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HVC
1 - 2
EHC
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
EHC
1 - 1
SCH
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SVS
0 - 0
EHC
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
EEB
0 - 3
EHC
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
BOS
1 - 1
FOR
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 2
HFC
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BVV
0 - 0
FOR
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
FCO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |