EGS Gafsa vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
26
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
JSO
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
EGS
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EGS
0 - 0
CSH
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
EGS
4 - 4
JSK
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
STA
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZAR
14%
29%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JSO
2 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CST
0 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
SFA
35%
30%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |