EGS Gafsa vs ES Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
9º
10º
25
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 0
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 2
EGS
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MOK
1 - 1
EGS
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
EGS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
EGS
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ACM
4 - 0
ETO
85%
12%
4%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
ETO
5 - 0
OLY
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
ETO
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |