EGS Gafsa vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
9º
10º
15
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 3
ETO
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 0
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
BEN
49%
29%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
CLU
45%
30%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |