EGS Gafsa vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
16
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
EGS
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASH
0 - 1
EGS
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
EGS
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 0
EGS
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
TAT
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ASD
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
BEN
26%
30%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |