EGS Gafsa vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
16
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
EGS
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASH
0 - 1
EGS
12%
18%
70%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
EGS
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 0
EGS
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
TAT
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ASD
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
BEN
26%
30%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |