EGS Gafsa vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
OCK
3 - 0
EGS
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
EGS
3 - 1
LAN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
EGS
2 - 0
SFA
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ESH
2 - 2
EGS
24%
29%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MBO
1 - 0
EGS
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 0
ASD
18%
27%
55%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SFA
3 - 0
ASA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 2
ESH
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
TAT
1 - 0
ASA
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 0
ASA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |