KF Egnatia vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
9º
2º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
LAÇ
0 - 2
EGN
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
EGN
1 - 1
PAR
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ERZ
0 - 1
EGN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EGN
2 - 1
KUK
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KFS
1 - 1
EGN
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
TEU
0 - 1
VLZ
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VLZ
0 - 0
LAÇ
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
VLZ
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VLZ
1 - 1
ERZ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
KUK
1 - 0
VLZ
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |