KF Egnatia vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
10º
3º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
EGN
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EGN
0 - 2
TIR
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
EGN
69%
21%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
EGN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
POB
2 - 2
EGN
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
VLZ
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 1
KUK
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VLZ
25%
29%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSU
3 - 0
VLZ
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
VLZ
1 - 1
CSU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |