Egg vs Ludesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
12º
3º
31
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
77.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 3
EGG
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
EGG
3 - 3
LUS
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROT
2 - 3
EGG
24%
20%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
EGG
3 - 1
LOC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RTB
2 - 1
EGG
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ludesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
LUD
0 - 4
ALB
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
WOL
4 - 5
LUD
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 3
SCG
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 1
LUD
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NEN
1 - 1
LUD
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |