Egg vs Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
EGG
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
EGG
1 - 2
AND
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
EGG
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WOL
3 - 0
EGG
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
EGG
1 - 0
AUS
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 3
MEI
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FCK
1 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
ROT
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
BIZ
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VIB
3 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |