Egg vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
33
9º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 4
EGG
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EGG
1 - 1
WOL
35%
21%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SCG
2 - 2
EGG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 0
NEN
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUD
0 - 3
EGG
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
ALB
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
ROT
38%
21%
41%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
LOC
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |