Egg vs Admira Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
9º
9º
16
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 0
EGG
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HOH
6 - 2
EGG
68%
17%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EGG
3 - 1
RTB
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EGG
3 - 4
LAU
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
5 - 0
EGG
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 1
ROT
57%
19%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 2
SCR
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SWB
2 - 0
ADM
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 1
ROT
61%
18%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 2
ADM
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |