Egen UI vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egen UI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
EGE
0 - 1
MAR
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ODD
1 - 1
MID
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MID
4 - 0
VEJ
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |