Egen UI vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
66.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
SVE
9 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
DAL
80%
13%
8%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
NAS
1 - 4
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
MAR
5 - 0
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SKJ
6 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |