Tacna Heroica vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 2
EGB
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 2
UCV
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
FCC
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
JSD
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDJ
0 - 0
EGB
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
LOS
53%
22%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DAG
1 - 0
COM
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CIE
7 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
COM
0 - 12
SPC
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |