Tacna Heroica vs UCV Moquegua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+240%
+373%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
FCC
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
JSD
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDJ
0 - 0
EGB
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 0
USD
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
EGB
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
UCV
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
UCV
6 - 1
FCS
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +5 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
BIN
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 4
UCV
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 1
UCV
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | 0 |