EFC vs PSV Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
EFC
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EFC
1 - 3
ROO
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EFC
3 - 1
GOE
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 2
EFC
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 0
WSC
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PSV Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEK
3 - 0
PSV
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VLI
9 - 2
PSV
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PSV
4 - 0
TER
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
5 - 1
BRA
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +3 |