EFC vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VLI
4 - 0
EFC
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EFC
4 - 1
RKV
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 0
EFC
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BVV
0 - 3
EFC
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
EFC
0 - 5
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
OSS
0 - 0
LON
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 4
OSS
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
OSS
3 - 0
MOE
66%
18%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OSS
1 - 0
BRA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OSS
3 - 0
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |