EFC vs JEKA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EFC
3 - 0
PSV
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
EFC
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EFC
1 - 3
ROO
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EFC
3 - 1
GOE
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 2
EFC
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
JEKA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
JEK
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VLI
4 - 1
JEK
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEK
3 - 0
PSV
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
JEK
5 - 0
BRA
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ROO
0 - 2
JEK
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |