EFC vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
EFC
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
EFC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 2
JEK
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EFC
3 - 0
PSV
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
EFC
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 2
LON
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JEK
1 - 2
IFC
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 1
VLI
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 0
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ROO
0 - 2
IFC
19%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |