EFC vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VVR
2 - 0
EFC
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEK
2 - 2
EFC
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 2
NUE
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NUL
0 - 0
EFC
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 2
EFC
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 1
TST
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VVR
1 - 4
GEL
31%
23%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GEL
3 - 2
JEK
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RKJ
1 - 4
GEL
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NUL
0 - 3
GEL
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |