Pinatar U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
7º
1º
35
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinatar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PIN
4 - 0
CLU
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EDM
1 - 3
PIN
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 1
LOR
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 4
PIN
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
REA
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
4 - 1
PRO
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 3
EFT
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
PRO
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
ADM
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
EFM
1 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |