EF Vélez Francisco Castejón vs Cuevas Bajas Atl. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+280%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Vélez Francisco Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TAP
4 - 1
VFC
32%
22%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
3 - 1
CDV
61%
18%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
1 - 1
FMA
41%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VFC
3 - 1
TOT
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
VFC
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cuevas Bajas Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CUE
2 - 4
RML
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FMA
5 - 0
CUE
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
6 - 1
CUE
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 3
FOU
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
CUE
30%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |