ADEF Usera vs Parque Arganzuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+159%
+627%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 3
EFU
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
EFU
5 - 2
VIL
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 2
EFU
17%
17%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EFU
6 - 2
CHA
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
EFU
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Parque Arganzuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 4
SAN
29%
20%
50%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GGB
3 - 2
PAR
37%
22%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAR
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
CDA
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ORC
0 - 4
PAR
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |