ADEF Usera vs Orcavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ATV
1 - 5
EFU
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
EFU
3 - 1
JUV
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RVB
0 - 2
EFU
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
EFU
0 - 1
INT
56%
19%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
EFU
41%
21%
39%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orcavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GGB
6 - 0
ORC
72%
15%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ORC
2 - 2
CDA
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ORC
1 - 4
PRO
14%
17%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ATV
2 - 0
ORC
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ORC
2 - 4
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |