ADEF Usera vs Orcavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FIV
4 - 1
EFU
53%
20%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
EFU
4 - 0
PLA
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CDC
3 - 2
EFU
36%
21%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EFU
5 - 2
IPR
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 4
EFU
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orcavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ORC
0 - 3
ORC
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RVB
3 - 0
ORC
65%
17%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 2
ORC
60%
18%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ORC
0 - 4
MAB
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SCA
4 - 0
ORC
83%
10%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |