ADEF Usera vs Alfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+159%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 7
EFU
9%
13%
77%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
EFU
2 - 0
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 3
EFU
45%
21%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UHA
4 - 9
EFU
22%
19%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
EFU
5 - 1
ATV
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 4
SAN
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GGB
3 - 2
ALF
77%
14%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 10
CDA
14%
17%
68%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |