ADEF Usera vs Alzola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
EFU
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EFU
2 - 3
EFC
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
EFU
4 - 3
ADC
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SVI
4 - 1
EFU
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
EFU
1 - 7
VSB
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALZ
3 - 2
CSP
72%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ORC
0 - 1
ALZ
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDM
4 - 4
ALZ
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALZ
1 - 3
DPS
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CIU
2 - 3
ALZ
7%
15%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |