Emérita Augusta U19 vs Flecha Negra U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
18º
18º
36
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 1 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EFE
0 - 7
CPD
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VED
4 - 1
EFE
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 6
MOR
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EFE
0 - 7
ZAF
28%
21%
52%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
EFE
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flecha Negra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
FLE
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 4
DBN
18%
19%
64%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UPP
3 - 0
FLE
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 1
FDC
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDB
6 - 1
FLE
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |