EF Concepción A vs Unión Valdebernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALM
3 - 2
EFC
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EFC
3 - 0
DEC
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
EFC
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EFC
4 - 2
CDR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SHO
0 - 4
EFC
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Valdebernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 3
HEN
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ADO
2 - 4
UNI
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAB
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AVA
3 - 0
UNI
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
DOS
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |