EF Concepción A vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SSR
3 - 4
EFC
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
EFC
0 - 0
SAG
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SHO
0 - 1
EFC
53%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FUN
1 - 0
EFC
33%
24%
44%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
EFC
0 - 0
CAN
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
FUN
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
ARA
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 2
PER
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARA
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |