EF Carabanchel vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LMA
3 - 1
EFC
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EFC
1 - 1
EFU
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CER
3 - 2
EFC
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
EFC
1 - 2
UNI
15%
18%
68%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
EFC
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BVC
3 - 1
ADC
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SVI
2 - 1
BVC
31%
22%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BVC
5 - 2
ORC
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VSB
0 - 2
BVC
25%
20%
56%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BVC
2 - 1
SVI
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |