Ethio Electric vs Harar Birra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethio Electric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AWK
2 - 0
MEH
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MEH
3 - 0
ADK
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
AMK
1 - 1
MEH
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 1
KGI
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
WEH
0 - 4
MEH
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harar Birra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 2
ETB
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MUC
0 - 1
HAR
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 1
ENB
44%
28%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ETH
0 - 1
HAR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
MAK
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |