Ethio Electric vs Harar Birra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethio Electric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DED
0 - 1
MEH
54%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEH
4 - 0
AYE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
AWK
1 - 1
MEH
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
MEH
6 - 0
AMK
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
ETB
3 - 2
MEH
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Harar Birra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 2
KGI
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ADK
0 - 2
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
MUC
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
HAR
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
DED
1 - 0
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |